2026 Trampoline Park Investment Value Analysis:

Opportunities, Costs and Risks

 2026-05-26  #Indoor Amusement Equipment #Indoor Playground #Amusement Equipment

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By 2026, the trampoline park industry has evolved from disorderly rapid expansion into a mature and standardized development stage. Integrating parent-child consumption, fitness entertainment and social interaction attributes, it maintains steadily growing market demand while facing challenges including stricter compliance regulations and intensified market competition. Investing in trampoline parks nowadays comes with both opportunities and risks. Medium-sized projects with premium site selection and differentiated operation boast high investment value, whereas homogeneous small-scale venues built blindly are facing elimination. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis from four dimensions: market prospects, costs and profits, core risks and investment suggestions, with all data sourced from authoritative industrial institutions and research reports.

 

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As a core form of immersive indoor entertainment, trampoline parks are boosted by national fitness policies, booming parent-child economy and social demands among young people, achieving double-digit market growth and covering consumers of all age groups.

 

1. Steady Expansion of Market Scale

 

According to Frost & Sullivan statistics, China's trampoline industry market size reached RMB 12.8 billion in 2024, rose to RMB 18.6 billion in 2025, and is expected to exceed RMB 21 billion in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.3% from 2024 to 2030. The global market also sees robust growth, hitting 1.62 billion US dollars in 2026 and projected to reach 6.6 billion US dollars by 2035 at a CAGR of 16.89%.

 

2. Solid Consumer Base

 

The 2024 National Fitness Activity Survey Bulletin released by the State Sports General Administration indicates that the number of people participating in trampoline sports and related recreational activities in China has exceeded 38 million, surging by 112% compared with 2020. Among all consumers, teenagers aged 3 to 18 account for 55%, while adults aged 25 to 45 for fitness and team building take up 30%, making family parent-child groups the core consumer force.

 

3. Dual Empowerment from Policies and Industrial Upgrading

 

In terms of policies, the National Fitness Plan (2021-2025) clearly encourages the construction of sports facilities for teenagers. The mandatory safety standards for trampoline venues to be implemented in 2026 will accelerate industrial reshuffling and benefit standardized and high-quality venues. In terms of business forms, traditional single trampoline zones have been upgraded into comprehensive entertainment complexes combining naughty castles, rock climbing, VR interaction and birthday party services. The average venue area has expanded from 800 square meters to over 2,500 square meters, with per capita consumption rising to 120-180 RMB, greatly improving overall profitability.

 

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The total investment of a trampoline park is closely related to venue scale, city tier and equipment quality, while revenue depends on passenger flow conversion rate, diversified profit layout and operational efficiency. Below are core data comparisons of venues of different sizes in 2026 (Data source: Blue Box Trampoline Franchise System & MARWEY Industrial Reports).

 

1. Detailed Investment Costs (Unit: Ten Thousand RMB)

 

Scale	City Tier	Area (㎡)	Equipment Cost	Decoration Cost	Annual Rent	Other Expenses (Certificates & Reserve Funds)	Total Investment
Small	Third-tier & Below	800-1200	60-100	60-96	20-30	10-15	150-240
Medium	Second & Third-tier	1500-2500	120-200	120-200	40-70	20-30	300-500
Large	First-tier & New First-tier	Above 3000	300-500	360-600	100-150	50-80	800-1200

 

2. Revenue and Payback Period

 

Industrial data proves that medium-sized venues covering 1500-2500 square meters enjoy the highest profit stability and rank the top investment choice in 2026.

 

Annual Revenue: Medium-sized venues in second and third-tier cities achieve annual revenue of 3-5 million RMB, among which tickets and membership cards account for 50%, birthday parties and corporate team building 25%, and light catering plus peripheral products 25%.

 

Profit Margin: The net profit margin ranges from 15% to 25%, and premium venues can reach over 30%.

 

Payback Period: 8-12 months in third-tier cities, 12-18 months in second and third-tier cities, and 18-24 months in first-tier cities.

 

3. Core Cost Control Measures

 

Equipment: Prioritize manufacturers with GB and ASTM certifications, and select steel frames with bearing capacity no less than 350kg to cut subsequent maintenance costs.

 

Rent: Choose basement floors of shopping malls or standard suburban warehouses for site selection, control rent within 15%-20% of total revenue, and strive for 3 to 6 months of rent-free period.

 

Human Resources: Arrange one staff member per 200 square meters of venue space, focus on safety operation and service training, and keep labor costs within 20%-25% of total revenue.

 

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As the industry steps into the standardized era in 2026, investment risks become more concentrated, and blind investment will easily lead to financial losses. The main risks are summarized as follows:

 

1. Compliance Risk: Higher Threshold Brought by Mandatory Standards

 

The upcoming mandatory safety standards for trampoline venues put forward stricter requirements on venue protection measures, regular equipment inspection and staff professional qualifications. Substandard venues will face business suspension and rectification, with additional rectification costs ranging from 200,000 to 500,000 RMB, which are unaffordable for most small venues. It is predicted that the industrial elimination rate will reach 30%.

 

2. Competition Risk: Homogenization and Scattered Passenger Flow

 

By the end of 2024, the total number of domestic trampoline parks has reached 4,760, a 60% increase compared with 2021, and over 20 venues have opened in a single second or third-tier city. Up to 80% of venues still adopt single trampoline business mode without differentiated features, resulting in scattered customer sources. Venues are fully occupied on weekends while the vacancy rate exceeds 70% on workdays. Many small venues gain monthly revenue less than 100,000 RMB, failing to cover daily operating costs.

 

3. Safety Risk: Frequent Accidents and Rising Insurance Costs

 

Trampoline sports belong to high-risk recreational activities. Industrial insurance data in 2025 shows that although the accident rate of indoor trampoline parks dropped by 38% year on year, the public liability insurance claim rate still exceeds 40%. The annual insurance cost for a single venue is 50,000 to 100,000 RMB. Severe safety accidents will not only cause huge compensation losses, but also damage brand reputation and even lead to permanent closure.

 

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Based on comprehensive analysis of market prospects, cost-benefit structure and potential risks, investing in trampoline parks remains feasible in 2026. Investors are advised to avoid homogeneous small-scale projects, focus on building medium-sized comprehensive venues in second and third-tier cities, and follow standardized operation and differentiated development strategies. Detailed suggestions are as follows:

 

1. Optimize Site Selection

 

Avoid saturated markets in first-tier cities and underdeveloped areas with weak consumption power in fifth-tier cities. Prioritize second and third-tier cities with permanent residents over 5 million and prosperous parent-child consumption atmosphere. Select venues covering 1500-2500 square meters with net height above 5 meters, preferably shopping mall basements or standardized suburban warehouses, and ensure per capita entertainment area over 2.5 square meters in line with fire safety regulations.

 

2. Diversify Business Layout

 

Abandon the single trampoline operation mode, and adopt scientific functional zoning: 60% children's zone with naughty castles and building block areas, 25% teenager zone with extreme trampolines and rock climbing facilities, and 15% adult zone for fitness trampolines and team building activities. Add high-profit businesses such as VR experience, themed parties and physical fitness training courses to raise the proportion of non-ticket income to over 40% and shorten the capital return cycle.

 

3. Standardize Compliance Operation

 

Cooperate with qualified equipment suppliers with complete safety certifications, complete fire safety acceptance and professional safety inspections before opening, establish systematic staff safety training mechanisms and arrange full-time safety instructors. Purchase sufficient public liability insurance and personal accident insurance to keep the on-site accident rate below the industrial average level.

 

4. Integrate Online and Offline Marketing

 

Boost online promotion by posting interesting short videos and cooperating with local parent-child influencers to expand influence. Develop offline cooperation with kindergartens, training institutions and enterprise departments to launch annual membership cards, bulk discount cards and group purchase packages, stabilize core customer groups and improve passenger flow volume on workdays.

 

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The trampoline park industry has bid farewell to the dividend era of easy profits and entered a refined operation era featuring survival of the fittest in 2026. For investors who can accurately grasp market trends, strictly control costs and risks, and create unique recreational experiences, trampoline parks are still high-quality physical investment projects with stable performance and growth potential, which can achieve an annualized return rate of 15%-25% and suit long-term capital layout for medium and small investors.